Real Estate Observer This newsletter will provide frameworks & analysis you can use to confidently invest your capital in private market real estate. It is written from the perspective of someone who reviews many deals in search of one that fits my personal or my investor community’s preferences. To keep up with what I’m working on, click here. |
Here’s a look at deals I currently have ownership in or have exited in 2025
Prospective investors are always welcome to request more detail if they’d like to dig deeper.
Single Family Home – Charlotte, NC
Acquired: 2021
Worth considerably more than my costs due to substantial renovation and further appreciation of the market.
Currently a rental but might become my home (again) one day, so it will be more difficult to access the built-up equity.
Performs OK as a rental. Considering its original intent was to not be a rental, I’d say it has worked out well so far.
100+ Unit Class C Multifamily Deal – Upstate, NY
Acquired: 2023
Investors have been receiving distributions the entire hold period, and at 10% CoC for the last year or so.
Occupancy stays in the 98%+ range and rents are significantly higher than projections.
We’re hitting year 10 NOI projections, and we’re only 2.5 years into the hold period.
We are very pleased with this deal so far.
150+ Unit Class C Deal – Cleveland, Ohio
Acquired: 2023
The only deal that is materially underperforming across my entire portfolio.
Distributions were not projected for the first 2 years due to repositioning of the property.
We are ~2.5 years into the hold period and it will be a while before we see distributions.
The reposition has taken much longer than anticipated.
Regulations in the market have made it more difficult than anticipated.
I’ve learned a lot on this deal, including why purchase price/basis is so important. Our purchase price still provides a path to generating returns here but it has been a tough one.
200 Units – Dallas, Texas
Acquired: Late 2023
Acquired with bridge debt and a 3-year interest rate cap.
Distributing ~6.2% vs. 5.5% projected during this time.
Despite the soft Dallas rental market, our rents are still meeting initial projections.
NOI is in line with budget
This deal should outperform expectations based on everything we are seeing so far, but still a ways to go!
Land Development – Charlotte, NC
Acquired: 2024
Exited: 2025 (1.6x Equity Multiple in 15 months)
The GP purchased a parcel which they then entitled and sold to a publicly traded builder once the lots were shovel-ready.
Exited the deal 15 months later for a 1.6x on LP capital.
Three main reasons I was comfortable with this deal:
Very strong sponsor
At time of investment, the contract was already in place with a publicly traded builder to purchase the lots once shovel-ready
Parcel was in a highly desirable location and I didn’t believe the builder would get cold feet.
I haven’t calculated the IRR on this deal yet, but it's quite a large number.
200+ Units – Houston, Texas (Cash-out Refi in 14 months providing 40%+ of investor capital back)
Acquired: 2024
Entered into a compliant tax abatement that was not affected by the recent house bill.
Property has performed at 95%+ occupancy with extremely low delinquency.
Cash-out refinance after ~14 months of ownership that returned over 40% of initial investor capital.
It was purchased for $34 million and appraised for $54 million at the time of refinance.
This property should perform well above projections once sold.
Real Estate Private Credit Fund
Made initial investment in mid-2024. This is a 506C (publicly available) opportunity. If you want to see the opportunity, feel free to respond to this email.
Makes loans to commercial real estate borrowers in preferred equity or mezzanine positions.
~10 – 14% annualized yield with quarterly distributions or option to reinvest. I believe the yield will increase as the fund continues to mature.
Our last-dollar position sits below 75% LTV providing us a nice equity cushion for the amount of yield generated. Both of my business partners and I are expanding our personal positions in this fund.
168 Units – Chapel Hill/Carrboro, NC
The deal just closed in early July.
Takeover of the deal was bumpy with an occupancy dip and having to re-lease the property using aggressive concessions.
Despite initial struggles, we are back up to 95% occupancy.
Currently underperforming projected quarterly NOI. With this being our first quarter of ownership, I fully expect that we will be in line with 2026 expectations as the business plan evolves.
Downside is protected on this deal and we have low-leverage fixed rate debt, which is why I liked it to begin with.
Single Family Development Investments
I handle land acquisition for a firm in Charlotte, NC and we buy infill lots and parcels and build homes on them.
We have built ~20 homes this year and have exited them successfully for the most part. There is higher DOM and some softness in the market that we have to contend with.
We only work with 3 investors in this strategy currently. We are able to generate a great risk-adjusted return for them. Our constraint in this vertical is quality deals, not capital.
If you’re interested in North Carolina single-family development or existing multifamily opportunities, you can follow along by clicking here. I usually only come across 1–3 deals per year that are truly worth investing in.

Clay Stanley
704-608-8488
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